Derived-values-only AI layer
Market stays warm with strong positive momentum
The market is currently in a warm phase with strong positive momentum. Most sectors are above their 50-day averages, volatility is contained, and credit is holding up versus Treasuries. The thermometer shows 85.5, indicating a generally positive outlook with a 82.9% chance of rising prices in the next 21 days.
85.5
Current Read
Warm
5-Day Up
87.3%
21-Day Up
82.9%
21-Day Middle
1.79%
What Supports The Read
- Recent 21-day price action is positive
- Most sector ETFs are above their 50-day averages
- Volatility is contained
- Credit is holding up versus Treasuries
What Could Weaken It
- Inflation is still hot
- Rate pressure is mixed
- Job data is steady
Visual Breakdown
Probability Gauges
Scenario Weights
Leadership
Player Pressure
What To Watch Next
- Monitor inflation trends and rate decisions for potential shifts
Confidence is moderate (0.39) with strong consensus on risk-on direction